Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 1.020577 1.221283 1.431931 1.667923 1.923459 2.190466 2.489247
2025-02-02 0.801306 1.092011 1.416527 1.798851 2.230891 2.698738 3.238709
2025-02-09 0.690214 1.031041 1.427633 1.909731 2.468269 3.085181 3.808977
2025-02-16 0.586166 0.960618 1.414245 1.981677 2.653541 3.408102 4.305378
2025-02-23 0.484155 0.875084 1.368443 2.002719 2.768900 3.642260 4.693015
2025-03-02 0.364617 0.748341 1.257758 1.933854 2.768921 3.736169 4.914300
2025-03-09 0.263739 0.630005 1.144790 1.851162 2.743241 3.792662 5.085848
2025-03-16 0.195739 0.547475 1.070119 1.809243 2.760827 3.894926 5.305909
2025-03-23 0.160315 0.510859 1.054801 1.841196 2.867476 4.101621 5.647075
2025-03-30 0.123990 0.464676 1.020845 1.844736 2.935675 4.259979 5.929514
2025-04-06 0.088005 0.409155 0.967217 1.817346 2.961292 4.364195 6.145574
2025-04-13 0.075241 0.399057 0.982103 1.883711 3.107150 4.615414 6.537568
2025-04-20 0.066164 0.397789 1.014357 1.980291 3.300418 4.935075 7.024667
2025-04-27 0.060731 0.404665 1.060375 2.097796 3.523202 5.293988 7.562677
2025-05-04 0.057754 0.416969 1.114848 2.226981 3.760952 5.671089 8.122247
2025-05-11 0.048109 0.407822 1.132224 2.302106 3.927126 5.959250 8.574505
2025-05-18 0.034401 0.380203 1.115485 2.325915 4.024012 6.160121 8.920225
2025-05-25 0.015970 0.319636 1.034530 2.250885 3.985709 6.189247 9.054980
2025-06-01 0.004407 0.260507 0.947537 2.161165 3.923473 6.185072 9.146347
2025-06-08 0.000506 0.221187 0.892122 2.115536 3.918111 6.250343 9.320378
2025-06-15 0.000006 0.208098 0.888492 2.150305 4.023507 6.457223 9.669462
2025-06-22 NaN 0.187571 0.866374 2.154150 4.084867 6.606875 9.947187
2025-06-29 NaN 0.160255 0.824907 2.124362 4.097455 6.692472 10.144435